Forty-eight hours to go to the announcement, and the race is up for grabs. Six hours ago, Ladbrokes had Ngugi wa Thiong’o at 3:1, followed by Cormac McCarthy (6:1), Haruki Murakami (7:1), Tomas Transtromer (9:1), Adonis (11:1), Gerald Murnane (11:1), and Ko Un (12:1). At day's end, Ngugi remains on top at 11:4, and McCarthy holds at 3:1, but Murakami drops to 10:1 and Murnane to 11:1. Ko Un holds at 12:1, Adonis slips to 13:1 Juan Gelman and Les Murray sit at 15:1, and Transtromer fades to 17:1. Michael Orthofer has his money on Ngugi. I'm still thinking Adonis or Ko Un. Readers?